homehome Home chatchat Notifications


Sheltering in the face of a nuclear explosion is even harder than we thought

If you see a mushroom cloud in the distance, stay away from the windows.

Tibi Puiu
January 17, 2023 @ 9:20 pm

share Share

3D illustration of the simulated air blast and generated blast wave 10 seconds following the detonation of a 750 kT nuclear warhead above a typical metropolitan city; the radius of the shock bubble at ground level is 4.6 km. Credit: I. Kokkinakis and D. Drikakis, University of Nicosia, Cyprus.

The end of the Cold War brought about a new world order, one in which it seemed like the specter of nuclear war was finally kept at bay. But nuclear weapons never went away and nuclear nations like the US and Russia still have enough stockpiles of these weapons of mass destruction to pulverize the entire surface of the planet many times over. Most recently, the war in Ukraine and Russian President Vladimir Putin’s saber-rattling have renewed global tensions and brought the looming threat of nuclear war back to the forefront.

These tensions have also renewed scientists’ interest in the effects of nuclear weapons. While radiation and the initial fireball following a nuclear explosion are relatively well studied, there are still gaps in our knowledge concerning the effects that the enormous blast wave generated by a nuclear detonation can have on people sheltering at a significant relative distance from the epicenter of the explosion.

The official U.S. government advice in the event that you happen to see a mushroom cloud is to “take shelter in the nearest and most protective building.” That’s still sound advice, but new research shows that even indoors and several kilometers away from the site of detonation, a nuclear blast wave can be gut-wrenching.

Few places to hide from a nuclear blast

In a new study, researchers at the University of Nicosia simulated the detonation of an intercontinental ballistic missile over a city in order to study what would happen to people sheltering indoors inside a concrete building. Using advanced computer modeling, the researchers found that the pressure wave generated by a typical modern nuclear warhead is powerful enough to push a person off their feet and slam them against walls even at a distance of a few kilometers away from the epicenter of the blast zone.

“Furthermore, there are no studies on the impact of the wind gust from a nuclear blast wave indoors on buildings far enough to withstand it, for example, reinforced concrete buildings in the medium destruction zone (MDZ). The findings suggest that the airspeed behind the blast wave induces significant forces on humans indoors. The most potent forces are experienced for a short period of up to half a second. The airspeed behind the blast wave accelerates indoors to even higher velocities. This stems from the expansion of the shock waves entering the space through an opening such as a window. Furthermore, channeling effects can further accelerate the air in the corridors,” lead author Professor Dimitris Drikakis of the University of Nicosia told ZME Science.

Contours of the maximum airspeed attained during the first 10 seconds after the blast wave enters the window; overpressure of 5 psi. Credit: I. Kokkinakis and D. Drikakis, University of Nicosia, Cyprus.

According to the simulation, a person hiding for cover inside a concrete building 5-6 kilometers away from the site of detonation will experience several G-forces of body mass acceleration when hit by air pushed by the blast wave. In some extreme situations, the acceleration could exceed 140 G’s. Experiencing such massive amounts of acceleration even for a fraction of a second can shatter bones and break a person’s spine with ease.

The most dangerous indoor locations are the windows, corridors, and doors, where the associated blast wave forces are strongest. In contrast, the corners of the room experience the least amount of force, making them the ideal locations to seek shelter indoors, even if the nearest corner faces the blast. You have to think fast though since it takes just a few seconds for the blast wave to travel a few kilometers.

But the blast wave is just one of the many problems you need to worry about. In addition, there are damaged power and gas lines, fires, and of course radiation and fallout that you have to worry about.

“The most destructive effects of a nuclear weapon come from the immense explosion and radiation. The blast wave can level buildings and cause widespread destruction over a large area, while the intense heat can cause fires that can burn for days and cause further damage. The radiation emitted by a nuclear weapon can cause both immediate and long-term health effects, including cancer and genetic mutations,” Drikakis said.

Nuclear war might seem like an unimaginable possibility but for Drikakis, one of the most surreal moments was working on these fluid dynamics simulations while Putin and his Kremlin pundits were more or less overtly putting the nuclear option on the table when discussing the outcome of the war in Ukraine.

“It was interesting to see all the media reporting on the risk of nuclear war while we were carrying out the simulations, engineering, and physics analysis in the background,” the researcher said.

Despite its weaker military and economy, Ukraine has been able to defend itself and, at some points, counterattack Russia thanks to the bravery of its soldiers and massive Western support. Because of the unprecedented trajectory of the war, Russia finds itself in a dire situation — exactly the conditions in which one would consider using weapons of mass destruction. Putin has also declared captured and illegally annexed Ukraine territory across the Donbas and Kherson region under Russia’s “nuclear umbrella,” meaning the Russian government sees itself entitled to defend the area if it is attacked, relying on nuclear deterrence to caution external forces from intervening. 

“We should raise awareness among the community [politicians, scientists, and citizens] that a nuclear war is an unthinkable scenario but still possible. Thus, we must all intensify our efforts to prevent this from happening,” Drikakis said.

The new findings appeared in the journal Physics of Fluids.

share Share

These Revolutionary Maps Are Revealing Earth's Geological Secrets

This work paves the way for more precise and comprehensive geological models

These Cockatoos Prepare Their Food by Dunking it Into Water

Just like some of us enjoy rusk dipped in coffee or tea, intelligent cockatoos delight in eating rusk dipped in water.

Two tiger cubs were released in Siberia. They reunited as mates after a trek of 120 miles

Reuniting as mates, they’ve not only adapted to the wild but sparked new hope for the survival of Amur tigers.

Haunting video from NASA and ESA shows Greenland losing 563 cubic miles of ice in under 30 seconds

We all know (hopefully) that warming temperatures is driving ice loss. But seeing it makes it all the more disturbing. Don’t get me wrong, the visualization produced by NASA and ESA is beautiful, but what it’s showing is simply heartbreaking. Between 2010 and 2023, Greenland lost 563 cubic miles (2,347 cubic kilometers) of ice, which […]

Why aren't there giant animals anymore?

Contrary to Cope's Rule, today's animals, including polar bears, are shrinking due to climate change and human impacts.

The Neuroscience Behind Vermeer's Girl and Its Hypnotic Power

There's a reason why viewers can't look away from Vermeer's masterpiece.

NASA spots Christmas "tree" and "wreath" in the cosmos

NASA has captured the holiday spirit in space with stunning images of NGC 602 and NGC 2264.

How Our Human Lineage Broke All the Rules of Vertebrate Evolution

New study challenges traditional views on human evolution with "bizarre" findings.

A giant volcano spanning 280 miles and taller than Mt. Everest was discovered on Mars

Noctis Mons marks a monumental volcanic discovery on Mars, reshaping our understanding of the Red Planet's geology.

The Future of Acne Scar Treatment: How Exosomes and Fractional CO2 Lasers are Changing the Game

Acne scars no longer have to be a permanent reminder—discover how cutting-edge treatments like exosomes and fractional CO2 lasers are transforming skin rejuvenation.