homehome Home chatchat Notifications


How Tokyo's voluntary lockdown averted a massacre in one of the world's most crowded cities

The Japanese weren’t ‘made’ to stay at home and social distance. They chose to and in doing so they averted countless deaths.

Tibi Puiu
November 6, 2020 @ 7:37 pm

share Share

Credit: Pixabay.

No one in the world happily complied with stay at home orders and restrictions, but we had to. If not out of ethical and medical considerations, lockdown breaches in most countries resulted in legal penalties. But like in many other things, the people’s behaviour in Japan’s response to the pandemic has been radically different.

Despite the fact that the Japanese government only issued recommendations and requests for cooperation in social distancing measures with no penalty if such guidelines weren’t followed, most of its citizens voluntarily followed them. As a result, the country is one of the most sheltered countries from the pandemic even though it is notoriously crowded. According to a new study that examined mobility data, Tokyo came to a grinding halt shortly after the state of emergency was announced.

“Using anonymized data that represented about 2% of the population, we could compute human movement and contact rates at a 100-meter grid-cell scale,” said study first author Takahiro Yabe of The University of Tokyo. “We found that 1 week into the state of emergency, human mobility reduced by 50%, which led to a 70% drop in social contacts.”

While some have even staged anti-lockdown protests in Western countries, furious that their civil liberties were being challenged by an invisible virus, those in Japan willingly followed their government’s pleas to stay indoors as much as possible in order to curb the spread of the pandemic.

Unlike other countries, Japan’s constitution makes it impossible for authorities to enact the same kind of draconian measures. Lucky for them, they didn’t need to impose any penalties to convince their citizens to follow the stay-at-home orders.

For their study, the researchers analyzed location data from more than 200,000 phones, which enabled them to plot human movement in Tokyo before and during the state of emergency. Japan declared its state of emergency on April 7, which involved requests to close businesses and work from home. Additionally, aggressive travel entry restrictions were introduced.

The data spanning January to April revealed a dramatic reduction in mobility in Tokyo. For instance,  Shinjuku Station, the world’s busiest train station, had up to 87% fewer visits at the height of the state of emergency compared to pre-crisis levels. Overall, the study reported a 50% reduction in mobility and an 80% reduction in social contact. Those who earned more income tended to reduce social interaction more and, thus, lower their chance of COVID-19 transmission, the researchers found after they combined the mobility data with socio-economic data.

These findings explain how Japan, a country with a population numbering over 126 million, had only a couple hundred cases in April, which trailed down to a handful per day in May. As of this month, Japan is on an upward trend of COVID-19 cases, reaching 9,314 cases over the past two weeks. That’s still very manageable and doesn’t even compare to the 1.172.536 cases in the U.S. over the same period.

“With a noncompulsory and nonpharmaceutical intervention, Tokyo had to rely on citizens’ cooperation. Our study shows they cooperated by limiting their movement and contact, subsequently limiting infections,” study co-author Yoshihide Sekimoto explains. “These findings offer insights that policymakers can apply when estimating necessary movement restrictions.”

The findings appeared in the journal Scientific Reports.

share Share

Archaeologists Find Neanderthal Stone Tool Technology in China

A surprising cache of stone tools unearthed in China closely resembles Neanderthal tech from Ice Age Europe.

A Software Engineer Created a PDF Bigger Than the Universe and Yes It's Real

Forget country-sized PDFs — someone just made one bigger than the universe.

The World's Tiniest Pacemaker is Smaller Than a Grain of Rice. It's Injected with a Syringe and Works using Light

This new pacemaker is so small doctors could inject it directly into your heart.

Scientists Just Made Cement 17x Tougher — By Looking at Seashells

Cement is a carbon monster — but scientists are taking a cue from seashells to make it tougher, safer, and greener.

Three Secret Russian Satellites Moved Strangely in Orbit and Then Dropped an Unidentified Object

We may be witnessing a glimpse into space warfare.

Researchers Say They’ve Solved One of the Most Annoying Flaws in AI Art

A new method that could finally fix the bizarre distortions in AI-generated images when they're anything but square.

The small town in Germany where both the car and the bicycle were invented

In the quiet German town of Mannheim, two radical inventions—the bicycle and the automobile—took their first wobbly rides and forever changed how the world moves.

Scientists Created a Chymeric Mouse Using Billion-Year-Old Genes That Predate Animals

A mouse was born using prehistoric genes and the results could transform regenerative medicine.

Americans Will Spend 6.5 Billion Hours on Filing Taxes This Year and It’s Costing Them Big

The hidden cost of filing taxes is worse than you think.

Evolution just keeps creating the same deep-ocean mutation

Creatures at the bottom of the ocean evolve the same mutation — and carry the scars of human pollution